Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781337395083
Author: Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 13, Problem 11P
Scenario Analysis
Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project’s
What are the project’s expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation?
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Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project!
will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also
performed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario
Probability of Outcome
Recession
Below average
0.05
NPV
-$58 million
0.20
-18 million
Average
Above average
Boom
0.50
12 million
0.20
16 million
0.05
34 million
What are the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation? Enter your answers for the NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $1.24 million
should be entered as 1.24, not 1,240,000. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places.
E(NPV):
$
ONPV:
$
million
million
CVNPV:
The risk-free rate of a capital-budgeting project a company wants to undergo is 5% and the expected market rate of return is 10%. The company has a beta of 0.3 and the project being evaluated has risk equal to the average project that the company has accepted in the past. Using the IRR method, determine an appropriate hurdle rate according to CAPM.
1 Scenario AnalysisShao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. Thecompany estimates the project’s NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumesthat the economy and market conditions will be average over the next fewyears. The company’s CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chancethat the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has alsoperformed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPVRecession 0.05 -$70 millionBelow average 0.20 -25 millionAverage 0.50 12 millionAbove average 0.20 20 millionBoom 0.05 30 millionWhat are the project’s expected NPV, standard deviation,…
Chapter 13 Solutions
Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 13 - Define each of the following terms:
Project cash...Ch. 13 - Prob. 2QCh. 13 - Why is it true, in general, that a failure to...Ch. 13 - Prob. 4QCh. 13 - Prob. 5QCh. 13 - Prob. 6QCh. 13 - Why are interest charges not deducted when a...Ch. 13 - Prob. 8QCh. 13 - Prob. 9QCh. 13 - Distinguish among beta (or market) risk,...
Ch. 13 - Prob. 11QCh. 13 - Talbot Industries is considering launching a new...Ch. 13 - Prob. 2PCh. 13 - Prob. 3PCh. 13 - Prob. 4PCh. 13 - Wendys boss wants to use straight-line...Ch. 13 - New-Project Analysis
The Campbell Company is...Ch. 13 - Prob. 7PCh. 13 - Inflation Adjustments
The Rodriguez Company is...Ch. 13 - Prob. 10PCh. 13 - Scenario Analysis Shao Industries is considering a...Ch. 13 - Prob. 1MCCh. 13 - Prob. 2MCCh. 13 - Prob. 3MCCh. 13 - Prob. 4MCCh. 13 - Prob. 5MCCh. 13 - Prob. 6MCCh. 13 - Calculate the cash flows for each year. Based on...Ch. 13 - Prob. 8MCCh. 13 - (1) What are the three types of risk that are...Ch. 13 - Prob. 12MCCh. 13 - Prob. 13MCCh. 13 - What is a real option? What are some types of real...
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- Celestial Crane Cosmetics is analyzing a project that requires an initial investment of $3,225,000. The project's expected cash flows are: Year Cash Flow Year 1 $375,000 Year 2 -125,000 Year 3 500,000 Year 4 400,000 If the company's WACC is 8% and the project has the same risk as the firm's average project, what is the project's modified internal rate of return (MIRR)? Should you accept or reject this project?arrow_forwardHuang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome Recession ($40 million) (24 million) 12 million 18 million Boom 0.05 34 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation. Enter your answers for the project's expected NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $13,000,000 should be entered as 13. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Below average Average Above average E(NPV): ONPV: CV: million million 0.05 0.20 0.50 NPV 0.20arrow_forwardHuang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimatedNPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be “average.”However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed ascenario analysis and obtained these results: Calculate the project’s expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation.arrow_forward
- Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome Recession Below average Average Above average E(NPV): ONPV: CV: X million 0.05 million 0.20 Boom 40 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation. Enter your answers for the project's expected NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $13,000,000 should be entered as 13. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. 0.50 0.20 NPV 0.05 ($38 million) (16 million) 12 million 20 millionarrow_forwardAdam Andler Corp is analyzing an average-risk project, and the following data have been developed. Unit sales will be constant, but the sales price should increase with inflation. Fixed costs will also be constant, but variable costs should rise with inflation. The project should last for 3 years. This is just one of many projects for the firm, so any losses on this project can be used to offset gains on other firm projects. What is the project's expected NPV? Do not round the intermediate calculations and round the final answer to the nearest whole number. WACC or cost of capital Net investment cost (depreciable basis) The salvage value of its equipment No other fixed assets will be acquired for following years The company will require an increase in net working capital at the $10,000 beginning The company will liquidate all working capital at the end of the project -10,000 Units sold (constant through years) 60,000 $30.00 $50,000 $17.00 Average price per unit, Year 1 Fixed operating…arrow_forwardA company is considering a new water bottling plant. Business plan forecasts an internal rate of return of 14 % on the investment. The beta of similar projects is 1.3. the risk free rate is 4 % and the market risk premium is estimated at 8 %. What is the hurdle for the project? What does this mean for the project: should it or should it not be undertaken?arrow_forward
- Huang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV Recession 0.05 ($72 million) Below average 0.20 (12 million) Average 0.50 12 million Above average 0.20 18 million Boom 0.05 38 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation. Enter your answers for the project's expected NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $13,000,000 should be entered as 13. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. is there a way to do the standard deviation in excel? i am having trouble with the formulaarrow_forwardHuang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV Recession 0.05 ($64 million) Below average 0.20 (10 million) Average 0.50 12 million Above average 0.20 16 million Boom 0.05 30 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standaarrow_forwardHuang Industries is considering a proposed project whose estimated NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that economic conditions will be "average." However, the CFO realizes that conditions could be better or worse, so she performed a scenario analysis and obtained these results: Economic Scenario Probability of Outcome NPV Recession 0.05 ($42 million) Below average 0.20 (24 million) Average 0.50 12 million Above average 0.20 22 million Boom 0.05 40 million Calculate the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation. Enter your answers for the project's expected NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $13,000,000 should be entered as 13. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. E(NPV): million ONPV: million CV:arrow_forward
- Consider the case of another company. Kim Printing is evaluating two mutually exclusive projects. They both require a $1 million investment today and have expected NPVS of $200,000. Management conducted a full risk analysis of these two projects, and the results are shown below. Risk Measure Standard deviation of project's expected NPVS Project beta Correlation coefficient of project cash flows (relative to the firm's existing projects) Which of the following statements about these projects' risk is correct? Check all that apply. Project B has more stand-alone risk than Project A. Project A has more corporate risk than Project B. Project A $80,000 1.2 0.7 Project B has more corporate risk than Project A. Project A has more market risk than Project B. Project B $40,000 1.0 0.9arrow_forwardAs a financial analyst, you are tasked with evaluating a capital-budgeting project. You were instructed to use the IRR method, and you need to determine an appropriate hurdle rate. The risk-free rate is 4%, and the expected market rate of return is 11%. Your company has a beta of 0.75, and the project that you are evaluating is considered to have risk equal to the average project that the company has accepted in the past. According to CAPM, the appropriate hurdle rate would be A. 15%. B. 9.25%. C. 4%. D. 11%. E. 0.75%arrow_forwardSuppose Celestial Crane Cosmetics is evaluating a proposed capital budgeting project (project Beta) that will require an initial investment of $3,000,000. The project is expected to generate the following net cash flows: Year Cash Flow Year 1 $375,000 Year 2 $450,000 Year 3 $425,000 Year 4 $475,000 Celestial Crane Cosmetics’s weighted average cost of capital is 10%, and project Beta has the same risk as the firm’s average project. Based on the cash flows, what is project Beta’s NPV? -$1,972,140 $1,356,550 -$1,643,450 -$4,643,450arrow_forward
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