Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
thumb_up100%
Chapter 10, Problem 32P
a)
Summary Introduction
To estimate: The expected annual profit of the firm.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
b)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The 95 percent interval for the annual profit of the company.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to forecast the performance of the system or model in the real world.
c)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The annual profit of the firm for the given scenario.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to forecast the performance of the system or model in the real world.
d)
Summary Introduction
To conclude: The results from part (a) and part (c).
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to forecast the performance of the system or model in the real world.
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
A hardware company sells a lot of low-cost, high volume products. For one such product, it is equally likely that annual unit sales will be low or high. If sales are low (30,000), the company can sell the product for $20 per unit. If sales are high (70,000), a competitor will enter and the company will be able to sell the product for only $15 per unit. The variable cost per unit has a 20% chance of being $10, a 60% chance of being $11, and a 20% chance of being $12. Annual fixed costs are $20,000.a. Use simulation to estimate the company’s expected annual profit.b. Find a 95% interval for the company’s annual profit, that is, an interval such that about 95% of the actual profits are inside it.c. Now suppose that annual unit sales, variable cost, and unit price are equal to their respective expected values—that is, there is no uncertainty. Determine the company’s annual profit for this scenario. d. Can you conclude from the results in parts a and c that the expected profit from a…
A company has two products, which both sell in quantities of 20. Product A sells for
$35/unit with a profit margin of 20%. Product B sells for $50/unit with a profit margin
of 13%. Product A has a lost sale probability of 25% when out of stock, and Product B
has a lost sale probability of 35% when out of stock. Which product is the more
"expensive", in terms of lost sales, if it were to experience a stockout?
O No answer text provided.
O Product A
O They both have the same cost of lost sales
same
O Product B
A NY Times best-selling author wants to write a new book as either volume II of her earlier successful book or an autobiography. She believes that by writing the volume II, given her previous success, she will have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. However, the worst-case scenario, if she can’t get a major publisher to take it, then she thinks there is 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand, if she writes an autobiography, considering the potential interest in her journey as successful writer, she thinks there will be 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If she can’t get a major publisher to take it, the worst-case scenario, she thinks there is a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.
Construct a decision tree to help this author…
Chapter 10 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Assume that all of a companys job applicants must...Ch. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Your answer is partially correct. An independent contractor for a transportation company needs to determine whether she should upgrade the vehicle she currently owns or trade her vehicle in to lease a new vehicle. If she keeps her vehicle, she will need to invest in immediate upgrades that cost $5,200 and it will cost $1,300 per year to operate at the end of year that follows. She will keep the vehicle for 5 years; at the end of this period, the upgraded vehicle will have a salvage value of $3,800. Alternatively, she could trade in her vehicle to lease a new vehicle. She estimates that her current vehicle has a trade-in value of $9,800 and that there will be $4,100 due at lease signing. She further estimates that it will cost $2,900 per year to lease and operate the vehicle. The independent contractor's MARR is 11%. Compute the EUAC of both the upgrade and lease alternatives using the insider perspective. Click here to access the TVM Factor Table Calculator. 1943.56 EUAC(keep): $…arrow_forwardA 75% leased apartment building that you recently acquired in Las Vegas, Nevada had an estimated annual NOI of $180,000. After you complete some needed renovations and improvements, you believe you can increase the occupancy to 95% while achieving higher rents and reduced operating costs, and you believe the renovated building will sell at a lower cap rate. If you can increase the NOI by 50% and reduce the sale cap rate by 25%, you will increase the sale price of the property by: a. 75% b. 25% c. 50% d. 100%arrow_forwardDiscuss how likely it is that 70% of students will pass a college course with a B or an A. Then, consider the following questions: Would you look at data showing the success rate of previous courses? Would you check whether the current GPA of students in your class is high or low? What other data would you like to have before you determine the probability of 70% of students passing this course with a B or an A?arrow_forward
- Assume that a customer shops at a local grocery store spending an average of $250 a week, resulting in the retailer earning a $40 profit each week from this customer. Assuming the shopper visits the store all 52 weeks of the year, calculate the customer lifetime value if this shopper remains loyal over a 10-year life-span. Also assume a 6 percent annual interest rate and no initial cost to acquire the customer. Part 2 This customer yields __ per year in profits for this retailer. (Round to the nearest dollar.) Part 3 The customer lifetime is __arrow_forwardThe probability that a mobile phone is stolen in an electronic shop is 0.0008. If 8500 mobile phones are sold, what is the approximate Poisson probability that 5 or fewer will be stolen? A- 0.327 B- 0.833 C- 0.781 D- 0.256arrow_forwardHazard is the cause of a possible loss. is loss possibilities due to negligence resulting in bodily harm or property damage to others. is a risk that carries a chance of either loss or gain. increases the likelihood of loss through some peril. is the chance that something may be lost.arrow_forward
- Which of the following interpretations is correct about risk versus uncertainty? Risk is about the known future while uncertainty is about the unknown future Tossing a coin is an example of uncertainty while pandemic is an example of risk Risk is about the unknown unknowns while uncertainty is about the known unknowns Risk is about random variables with estimable chances and possible outcomes while uncertainty is about variables with unknown chances and/or unknown possible outcomesarrow_forwardProblem Solving. The JSM company has been approached by an individual who has an idea for a new product. He wants to sell this idea for P32, 000. If the idea is purchased, the product must be developed. The company can develop the product at a cost of P64,000, and there is a 50% chance that they can develop the product. TMJ INDUSTRY has offered to develop the product. It will also cost P65,000, but they are only 40% certain that they can develop the product. No charge will be levied unless the job is successful. If the product is developed, it must be advertised. There are two plans for the advertisement. Plan A which costs P55,000 with 75% chances of success and Plan B which cost P38,000 with a 50% probability of success. The management believes that if the product is a success, the return will be P50 million. a) Should JSM purchase the idea?b.) who should develop the product?c.) which plan of advertisement should be adopted?arrow_forwardWhich of the following is a likely source of basis risk? All of these None of these Crude oil is being used to hedge the price risk of downstream (refined) petroleum product O The termination date of exposure is two weeks later than the contract expiration date. A power plant in the Northeast is managing its input (natural gas) risk using a contract priced at Henry Hub, Louisiana.arrow_forward
- A polling firm is taking a survey regarding a proposed new law. Of the voters polled, 30% are in favor of the law. If 10 people are surveyed, what is the probability that 4 will indicate that they are opposed to the passage of the new law?arrow_forwardWhich of the following could be an example of a purchase money security interest? (Choose all of the incorrect answers.) An engineer who purchases a drafting machine from a scientific-supply company, with payment due to the store in 30 days An attorney who purchases a new conference table from a furniture store with his airline credit card A student who purchases a T-shirt from the bookstore in cash A doctor who writes a check to the medical supply store to purchase a blood pressure machine An architect who purchases a MacBook from the Apple Store, with payment due to the Apple Store in 30 daysarrow_forwardA salesperson uses three different airlines. The probabilities of switching from one airline to another in consecutive flights are shown below. If the last flight was on Delta, what is the probability that the next was on American? American Delta Southwest American 0.5 0.25 0.25 Delta 0.2 0.6 0.2 Southwest 0.3 0.3 0.4 A 0.5 B 0.2 C 0.25 D 0.6arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,