The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,000 2 3,950 3 3,400 4 3,800 5 3,700 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 100 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (the weight of 0.60 is for the most recent period)= 3740 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60= 50 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year Mileage 1 3,000 2 3,950 3 3,400 4 3,800 5 3,700 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3750 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = 100 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60 (the weight of 0.60 is for the most recent period)= 3740 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.40 and 0.60= 50 miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
Problem 29P: The file P13_29.xlsx contains monthly time series data for total U.S. retail sales of building...
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the last part with calculating the MAD
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