You are given: (i)Losses on an insurance coverage follow a lognormal distribution with parameters μ = θ and σ = 2. (ii) θ varies by policy holder in accordance with a normal distribution with mean 5 and variance 3. (iii) A policyholder submits 20 claims for losses. The average size of the claims is 10,000. Calculate the Buhlmann prediction of the size of the next loss for this policyholder.

Calculus For The Life Sciences
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Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
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You are given:
(i)Losses on an insurance coverage follow a lognormal distribution with parameters μ = θ and σ = 2.
(ii) θ varies by policy holder in accordance with a normal distribution with mean 5 and variance 3.
(iii) A policyholder submits 20 claims for losses. The average size of the claims is 10,000.
Calculate the Buhlmann prediction of the size of the next loss for this policyholder.

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