will You have been recruited as an expert in health economics to what is the best therapy for a group of patients. In the image below you find the decision tree showing the probabilities for different health states and outcomes for patients undergoing two possible treatments, No drug therapy and Drug therapy. Based on the expected cost, which therapy would you recommend as the least expensive? Explain how you arrived at your recommendation and show your calculations the space provided.

Exploring Economics
8th Edition
ISBN:9781544336329
Author:Robert L. Sexton
Publisher:Robert L. Sexton
Chapter17: Income, Poverty, And Health Care
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 14P
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You have been recruited as an expert in health economics to recommend
what is the best therapy for a group of patients. In the image below you will
find the decision tree showing the probabilities for different health states
and outcomes for patients undergoing two possible treatments, No drug
therapy and Drug therapy. Based on the expected cost, which therapy
would you recommend as the least expensive? Explain how you arrived at
your recommendation and show your calculations the space provided.
No drug theraphy ?
Drug theraphy
?
HEALTH STATES
PROBABILITIES
Remain in Good Health
0.5
Develop disease A
0.2
Develop disease B
0.2
Die
0.1
Remain in Good Health
0.53
Develop disease A
0.16
Develop disease B
0.22
Die
0.09
OUTCOMES
(Costs)
$0
$400
$300
$200
SO
$800
$500
$0
Transcribed Image Text:You have been recruited as an expert in health economics to recommend what is the best therapy for a group of patients. In the image below you will find the decision tree showing the probabilities for different health states and outcomes for patients undergoing two possible treatments, No drug therapy and Drug therapy. Based on the expected cost, which therapy would you recommend as the least expensive? Explain how you arrived at your recommendation and show your calculations the space provided. No drug theraphy ? Drug theraphy ? HEALTH STATES PROBABILITIES Remain in Good Health 0.5 Develop disease A 0.2 Develop disease B 0.2 Die 0.1 Remain in Good Health 0.53 Develop disease A 0.16 Develop disease B 0.22 Die 0.09 OUTCOMES (Costs) $0 $400 $300 $200 SO $800 $500 $0
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