How to make predictive modeling? Task Selected: {please write the task you have selected, either “Response Time” or “Ambulance Demand”? Task Description: {in your own words, please describe in 2-3 sentences what you see this task requiring you, as the analyst, to do}. Final Predictive Value: {Please state, in your own words, what you are ultimately trying to predict in this tasking. Please be specific, as both tasks could be done in a variety of ways. For example, if predicting response time, then are you trying to predict response times for different jurisdictions? For different times of day? For different days of the week? Ultimately, what are the specific values you are trying to predict in the end? Factors Considering: {Please list, based on your initial thinking and review of some of the relevant readings (as well as others) what factors you think would influence the prediction of your specific values. For example, if doing ambulance demand, maybe it is day of the week, or time of day, or season, or… What are those factors you initial think would be relevant to predicting your final values? You can list as few or as many factors as you would like, but please take some time to consider all the factors that may influence your predictive values, and take a look at the initial data} ,Day of the week (M, T, W, Th, F, Sa, Sn), {Factor 2}. {…}
How to make predictive modeling?
Task Selected: {please write the task you have selected, either “Response Time” or “Ambulance Demand”? Task Description: {in your own words, please describe in 2-3 sentences what you see this task requiring you, as the analyst, to do}. Final Predictive Value: {Please state, in your own words, what you are ultimately trying to predict in this tasking. Please be specific, as both tasks could be done in a variety of ways. For example, if predicting response time, then are you trying to predict response times for different jurisdictions? For different times of day? For different days of the week? Ultimately, what are the specific values you are trying to predict in the end? Factors Considering: {Please list, based on your initial thinking and review of some of the relevant readings (as well as others) what factors you think would influence the prediction of your specific values. For example, if doing ambulance demand, maybe it is day of the week, or time of day, or season, or… What are those factors you initial think would be relevant to predicting your final values? You can list as few or as many factors as you would like, but please take some time to consider all the factors that may influence your predictive values, and take a look at the initial data} ,Day of the week (M, T, W, Th, F, Sa, Sn), {Factor 2}. {…}
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Data Sources Considering: {since the ambulance data is not the only data you will need to use, what other data sources do you think you will need to use to help build and improve your predictive model? Take some time to look at various data sources for New York City (a good place to start is https://opendata.cityofnewyork.us/), but make sure you put data sources that are related to your task at hand. Don’t just put data here because it is listed on that site. What data would you need to actually predict either response times or ambulance demand? Please also list the website where these data sources can be found}
- NYC FDNY Emergency Medical Services Ambulance Calls, 2008-2016
- {Other dataset 1}
- {…}
Next Steps: {now that you have an initial set of factors you think are relevant, and greater clarity on what you need to predict, what are your next steps on this project? Think about what you will accomplish in the next month, and list out those steps. For example, do you need to acquire additional data sources? Do you need to link data sources based on some common variable? Do you need to do initial descriptive analysis to see how your data varies by one factor or another? In this section, list out and be specific, as this will help become your own task list for the next month as you work on this project.
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