Harry is trying to evaluate a two year project using NPV. There is uncertainty as to the level of sales (in units) in each of the two years:  Year 1 Sales units                    Probability                   Year 2 Sales units                    Probability  10,000                                       0.3                                           8,000                           0.2                                                                                                 10,000              0.8 15,000                                        0.7                                           20,000              0.6                                                                                                 10,000              0.4 Required:  (a) On what expected level of sales in Year 1 and 2 should Harry b

Essentials Of Investments
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Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Harry is trying to evaluate a two year project using NPV. There is uncertainty as to the level of sales (in units) in each of the two years: 

Year 1 Sales units                    Probability                   Year 2 Sales units                    Probability 

10,000                                       0.3                                           8,000                           0.2
                                                                                                10,000              0.8
15,000                                        0.7                                           20,000              0.6
                                                                                                10,000              0.4

Required: 

(a) On what expected level of sales in Year 1 and 2 should Harry base his NPV calculation?

(b) Imagine that the project outlay is £230,000 and each unit sold has a contribution of £10.  If Harry’s cost of capital is 10%, what is the project’s expected NPV? 

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