Graphical (1) Suppose the Fed raises the real interest rate and consumer confidence falls around the same time (as occurred in 1990). Show with a graph what happens to the AE and Phillips curves and to output and inflation.
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- Would you expect to see long-run data trace out a stable downward-sloping Phillips curve?A Wall Street Journal offered the following opinion of the bond market in September 2012, when inflation rate was about 2%: Ac€A?Someone buying long-term bonds yielding 1.5% or 2% and then seeing consumer price inflation of 4%, will be on the loosing end of the betAc€??. a. Explain verbally and illustrate graphically what will happen to the price of bonds if expected inflation increases to 4% from 2%. Be sure to include in your answer the demand the bond market. b. Explain why someone buying long-term bonds yielding 1.5% or 2% and then seeing consumer price inflation of 4%, will be on the loosing end of the bet. c. Suppose that you expect a greater increase in inflation than do others investors, but that you do not expect the increase to occur until 2015. Should you wait until 2015 to sell your bond? Briefly explain. d. The columnist also argued that long-term bonds would be a good investment if only Ac€A? when we get serious price deflationAc€?? Ac€?c *Explain verbally and illustrate…Check According to the modern view of the Phillips curve, expansionary macroeconomic policy that leads to inflation will reduce unemployment .. only if people underestimate the inflationary side effects of the policy Ob only if people overestimate the inflationary side effects of the policy. Ocif people accurately anticipate the inflationary side effects of the policy Od only if monetary pohcy provides the macroeconomic stamulus.
- Suppose the current administration decides to decreasegovernment expenditures as a means of cutting theexisting government budget deficit.a. Using a graph of aggregate demand and supply, showthe effects of such a decision on the economy in theshort run. Describe the effects on inflation and output.b. What will be the effect on the real interest rate, theinflation rate, and the output level if the FederalReserve decides to stabilize the inflation rate?Assume that an economy is initially at the natural rate of unemployment.a. Use a Phillips curve diagram to illustrate graphically how the inflation rate andunemployment rate change both in the short run and in the long run to anunexpected expansionary monetary policy.b. Use a Phillips curve diagram to illustrate graphically how the inflation rate andunemployment rate change both in the short run and in the long run to theannouncement of a credible plan of expansionary monetary policy whenpeople have rational expectations.The economy begins in longcrun equilibrium. Thenone day, the president appoints a new chair of theFederal Reserve. 11\is new chainnan is well known forher view that inflation is not a major problcn1 for aneconomy.a. How would this news affect the price level thatpeople would expect to prevail?b. How would this change in the expected pricelevel affect the nonlinal wage that workers andfmn.s agree to in their new labor contracts?c. How would this change in the nonlinal wageaffect the profitability of producing goods andservia,s at any given price level?d. How docs this change in profitability affect theshort-run aggregate-supply curve?e. ff aggregate demand is held constant, how docsthis sllift in the aggregate-supply curve affect theprice level and the quantity of output produced?f. Do you think this Fed chainnan was a goodappointment?
- Suppose the Federal Reserve announced that itWould pursue contractionary monetary policy toReduce the inflation rate. Would the followingConditions make the ensuing recession more or lessSevere? Explain.A. Wage contracts have short durations.B. There is little confidence in the Fed’s determinationTo reduce inflation.C. Expectations of inflation adjust quickly to actualInflation2. What is the eqution and shape of the modem aggregate supply curve according to imperfect infomation model? Using the equation of Aggregate Supply (AS) derive the equation of Expectation augmented Phillips curve and explain causes of inflation in tems of it. How does expectation augmented Phillips curve explain Stagflation?. Central banks that engage in inflation targeting usuallyannounce the inflation target and time period for whichthat target will be relevant. In addition, central bankofficials are held accountable for their actions (e.g.,they could be fired if the target is not reached), andtheir success or lack thereof is also public information.Explain why transparency is such a fundamental ingredient of inflation targeting.
- 12. Most business economists and analysts prefer to use measures of "core" inflation, which typically remove which of the following volatile components? O. Energy O. Food O. Housing O. Energy and FoodHow do you know if the Fed's actions achieve the goal of stable prices? The goal of stable prices is achieved when _______. A. the prices of food, clothing, and shelter are stable B. the PCEPI inflation rate excluding food and energy prices is 2 percent a year C. the general level of prices is changing, but we can accurately predict the rate of change D. the inflation rate is zero percent a year thanks sSuppose that a borrower and a lender agree on thenominal interest rate to be paid on a loan. Theninflation turns out to be higher than they bothexpected.a. Is the real interest rate on this loan higher or lowerthan expected?b. Does the lender gain or lose from thisunexpectedly high inflation? Does the borrowergain or lose?c. Inflation during the 1970s was much higher thanmost people had expected when the decade began.How did this unexpectedly high inflation affecthomeowners who obtained fixed-rate mortgagesduring the 1960s? How did it affect the banks thatlent the money
