Consider company ABC. Today it is the 1st of January 2022. The expected earnings of ABC (in million £) for the next few years (as per the 1st of January) are forecast to be:   Year 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Expected Earnings 1 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.3   From year 2027 and onwards the earnings of ABC are expected to grow with a growth rate of 5%. The required rate of return of ABC is 12%. The dividend policy of ABC is currently such that they pay out 80% of their earnings as dividends, i.e. their earnings retention ratio b is constant and equals 0.2. The forecast of the growth rate is based on an earnings retention ratio of 0.2.  Given the information above, provide a recommendation to the management of ABC as to whether they should increase/cut back on dividends. Motivate your answer.

Corporate Fin Focused Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781285660516
Author:EHRHARDT
Publisher:EHRHARDT
Chapter7: Valuation Of Stocks And Corporations
Section7.6: Valuing Nonconstant Growth Stocks
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  1. Consider company ABC. Today it is the 1st of January 2022. The expected earnings of ABC (in million £) for the next few years (as per the 1st of January) are forecast to be:

 

Year

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Expected Earnings

1

1.5

0.9

1.2

1.3

 

From year 2027 and onwards the earnings of ABC are expected to grow with a growth rate of 5%. The required rate of return of ABC is 12%. The dividend policy of ABC is currently such that they pay out 80% of their earnings as dividends, i.e. their earnings retention ratio b is constant and equals 0.2. The forecast of the growth rate is based on an earnings retention ratio of 0.2. 

  1. Given the information above, provide a recommendation to the management of ABC as to whether they should increase/cut back on dividends. Motivate your answer.
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