Clinton Financial Consultants is a firm of chartered accountants and financial consultants. Amongst its many activities , it specializes in arranging finance for new entrepreneurs. It helps them in evaluation, preparing viable reports, documentation, legal documentation and finally obtaining a loan from banking or financial institutions. The task involves preparing a proposal, checking the background of the client firm for its creditworthiness, preparing pro forma balance sheets and profit and loss accounts for the term of the loan, carrying out a need analysis, preparing loan agreement documents and finally obtaining the loan for the client. To facilitate better management, the firm uses PERT. It is currently processing the proposed loan for Alfa enterprises. The team assigned for this project has identified the following activities: Activity Description Immediate Predecessor A Start preparing proposal as per template - B Check credit worthiness of firm - C Create a rough draft proposal A,B D Carry out need analysis with cost C E Estimate future cash outflows and inflows C F Prepare pro forma financial statements E G Prepare and obtain approval of legal documents C H Integrate all documents and produce proposal D,F,G I Identify potential sources of capital and select G,F J Check approve and print final legal proposal H K Sign agreement and transfer funds I,J   Activity Time Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic A 4 7 10 B 2 5 8 C 2 5 8 D 16 19 28 E 6 9 24 F 1 7 13 G 4 10 28 H 2 5 14 I 5 8 17 J 2 5 8 K 19 28 37 a. Calculate the expected time and variance for each activity. b. Construct a PERT network c. Find the critical path and expected duration to complete the project d. What is the variance and standard deviation of the project length e. If the company has a policy of setting up a project with 95% probability of achieving the plan, what time frame should the company set for this project?

Practical Management Science
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ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Clinton Financial Consultants is a firm of chartered accountants and financial consultants. Amongst its many activities , it specializes in arranging finance for new entrepreneurs. It helps them in evaluation, preparing viable reports, documentation, legal documentation and finally obtaining a loan from banking or financial institutions. The task involves preparing a proposal, checking the background of the client firm for its creditworthiness, preparing pro forma balance sheets and profit and loss accounts for the term of the loan, carrying out a need analysis, preparing loan agreement

documents and finally obtaining the loan for the client. To facilitate better management, the firm uses PERT. It is currently processing the proposed loan for Alfa enterprises. The team assigned for this project has identified the following activities:

Activity Description Immediate Predecessor

A Start preparing proposal as per template -

B Check credit worthiness of firm -

C Create a rough draft proposal A,B

D Carry out need analysis with cost C

E Estimate future cash outflows and inflows C

F Prepare pro forma financial statements E

G Prepare and obtain approval of legal documents C

H Integrate all documents and produce proposal D,F,G

I Identify potential sources of capital and select G,F

J Check approve and print final legal proposal H

K Sign agreement and transfer funds I,J

 

Activity Time Optimistic Time Most Likely Time Pessimistic

A 4 7 10

B 2 5 8

C 2 5 8

D 16 19 28

E 6 9 24

F 1 7 13

G 4 10 28

H 2 5 14

I 5 8 17

J 2 5 8

K 19 28 37

a. Calculate the expected time and variance for each activity.

b. Construct a PERT network

c. Find the critical path and expected duration to complete the project

d. What is the variance and standard deviation of the project length

e. If the company has a policy of setting up a project with 95% probability of achieving the plan, what time frame should the company set for this project?

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