An arcade booth at a county fair has a person pick a coin from two possible coins available and then toss it.  If the coin chosen lands on heads, the person gets a prize.  One coin is a fair coin and one coin is a biased coin (unfair) with only a 28% chance of getting a head.  Assuming equally likely probability of picking either coin, what is the probability that the fair coin is the one chosen, given that the chosen coin lands on heads?

Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition 2012
1st Edition
ISBN:9780547587776
Author:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:HOLT MCDOUGAL
Chapter11: Data Analysis And Probability
Section11.8: Probabilities Of Disjoint And Overlapping Events
Problem 2C
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An arcade booth at a county fair has a person pick a coin from two possible coins available and then toss it.  If the coin chosen lands on heads, the person gets a prize.  One coin is a fair coin and one coin is a biased coin (unfair) with only a 28% chance of getting a head.  Assuming equally likely probability of picking either coin, what is the probability that the fair coin is the one chosen, given that the chosen coin lands on heads?

A)  0.6410

B)  0.3900

C)  0.7800

D)  0.0175

E)  

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