aily highs in Sacramento for the past week (from least to most recent) were: 95, 102, 101, 96, 95, 90 and 92. Develop a forecast for today using a weighted moving average, with weights of .6, .3 and .1, where the highest weights are applied to the most recent dataq
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q1- Daily highs in Sacramento for the past week (from least to most recent) were: 95, 102, 101, 96, 95, 90 and 92. Develop a
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- 1 The demand for automobiles at Crescent Auto Dealers for the past 8 weeks is as follows. Week Auto Demand Weights1 9 0.12 11 0.33 8 0.64 125 106 137 78 12a Develop a 3-week moving average forecast for Weeks 4 through 9b Develop a 3-week weighted average forecast…Week CheeseburgerSales 1 354 2 344 3 368 4 317 5 361 Based on historical observations over the past five weeks, make a forecast for the next period using the following methods: simple average, three-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with α = 0.4, given a forecast of 326 cheeseburgers for the first week. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places,e.g. 250.25) Simple average: F6 = enter forecast using a simple average 3-Period moving average: F6 = enter forecast using 3-Period moving average Exponential smoothing: F6 = enter forecast using exponential smoothing If actual sales for week 6 turn out to be 365, compare the three forecasts using MAD. Which method performed best?(Calculate your answers using the error only in period 6.) MAD (simple average) = enter forecast using a simple average of MAD MAD (3-period moving average) = enter forecast using 3-period moving average of MAD MAD (exponential smoothing) = enter forecast using exponential…↑ Sales of tablet computers at Ted Glickman's electronics store in Washington, D.C., over the past 10 weeks are shown in the table below: Week 1 Demand 20 5 6 7 8 9 10 24 30 36 24 26 28 2 4 23 28 38 a) The forecast for weeks 2 through 10 using exponential smoothing with a 0.60 and a week 1 initial forecast of 20.0 are (round your responses to two decimal places): 7 Week 1 2 3 4 5 Demand 20 23 28 38 24 Forecast 20.0 36 6 30 8 24 9 10 26 28 b) For the forecast developed using exponential smoothing (a=0.60 and initial forecast 20.0), the MAD-sales (round your response to two decimal places). c) For the forecast developed using exponential smoothing (a=0.60 and initial forecast 20.0), the tracking signal = (round your response to two decimal places).
- 10. Lenovo uses the ZX-81 chip in some of its laptop computers. The prices for the chip during the last 4 months were as follows: Month Price Per Chip January $1.85 February $1.61 March $1.63 April $1.83 This exercise contains only parts a, b, and c. Part 2 a) Using a 2-month moving average, calculate the forecast for March and April (round your responses to two decimal places). Month Mar Apr Forecast $________ $________Sales of hair dryers at the NOVO Store in City of San Fernando over the past 4 months have been 100, 110, 120 and 130 units (with 130 being the most recent sales). Develop as moving-average forecast for next month, using these three techniques: a. 3-month moving average b. 4-month moving average. c. Weighted 4-month moving average with the most recent month weighted 4, the preceding month 3, then 2 and the oldest month 1- Sales of tablet computers at Ted Glickman's electronics store in Washington, D.C., over the past 10 weeks are shown in the table below: 6 10 Week 1 Demand 20 2 3 23 27 4 5 37 26 7 8 9 30 35 22 24 29 a) The forecast for weeks 2 through 10 using exponential smoothing with a = 0.55 and a week 1 initial forecast of 20.0 are (round your responses to two decimal places): Week 1 Demand 20 Forecast 20.0 2 3 23 27 4 37 5 26 6 30 7 35 8 22 9 24 10 29
- Month Demand Forecast 1 40 2 50 3 42 4 55 5 41 50 6 42 7 Sum Mean Error Abs Error Bias MAD When using exponential smoothing forecast (ESF) with an alpha of .3: 1. What is the forecast for month 6? 2. What is the forecast error for month 6?Sales of hair dryers at the Walgreens stores in Youngstown,Ohio, over the past 4 months have been 100, 110, 120, and 130units (with 130 being the most recent sales).Develop a moving-average forecast for next month, usingthese three techniques:a) 3-month moving average.b) 4-month moving average.c) Weighted 4-month moving average with the most recentmonth weighted 4, the preceding month 3, then 2, and theoldest month weighted 1.d) If next month’s sales turn out to be 140 units, forecast the following month’s sales (months) using a 4-month mov-ing average.1 The demand for automobiles at Crescent Auto Dealers for the past 8 weeks is as follows. Auto Week Demand 1 9. 2 11 3 8 4 12 5 10 13 7 7 8. 12 Develop a 3-week moving average forecast for Weeks 4 through 9 a Develop a 3-week weighted average forecast for weeks 4 through 9 with weights of d. What is the Naïve forecast for Week 9?